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Chauncey Billups and the Range War


I read Steve's game recap early this morning titled "No Excuses", his later post on the loss of Chauncey Billups, and Andrew Sharp's feature about "Why the Clips Just Got Lucky". Now, these are two writers I really enjoy and generally agree with, but I am baffled by these assertions that the Clippers didn't lose much or might have enough ancillary pieces to fill the void left by the season-ending injury to Chauncey Billups. I'm doubly baffled by the notion that the Clippers didn't have an excuse in their loss to Cleveland last night or that the Cavaliers (temporary) loss of Kyrie Irving compares at all to the Clipper's loss of Chauncey Billups. Frankly, I would have been shocked if the Clippers won last night, especially in a close game with the score tied in the last few minutes. To my mind, the guy the Clippers needed more than anyone in that game not named Chris Paul was Chauncey Billups... even if he wasn't on the floor, even if he didn't take a shot.

Star-divide

You're Chris Paul, you're on a horse, you carry two six guns and a rifle strapped to your saddle and you're in a season-long range war. You're a noted tough guy, still young but one of the best of the best. You've tasted victory on occasion but you've fallen short, but then again you've never had a gang as good as the one you're riding with now. The young guys in your gang are good, real good, but still unproven. You've also got some other guys in your gang that have been there before. One guy, ole' Chauncey Billups rode out this season somewhat relucantly. He didn't want to be part of this youthful team, he wanted to call his own shots somewhere else. But you convinced him to hang around and he's become your number one sidekick, the guy who rides just to your right, he's become your second set of eyes, he's even, on occasion, filled in for you. Oh, he doesn't have all the ability he once did, Father Time has taken its toll, some of his skills have atrophied a bit, but not his brain. And he still carries that Mitchell-Johnson long range carbine, the one with all the notches in the gunstock, the one that no one else can even lift to their shoulder.

You ride into a valley and you scan the landscape, and you point and you say, "There, they'll come through that notch there. You, Blake, and you, DJ, you come with me, we'll pick and roll over here and hit them straight down the middle. Mo, go up that rise to the west and look for a shot. Caron, loop around the baseline and get behind them. Chauncey, I want you to go up that hill to the south- you might get a clean look--"

--And Chauncey, who's been scanning the landscape, doesn't shake his head, doesn't disagree, he simply nods and says, quietly, without ego, "I like that little knoll up on east. Figger I can look down and take 'em by surprise." You nod back at him because he's right. He's always right. He unslings his long rifle as the others take their positions. He looks at you and he says, "Don't worry CP, we got this one."

That's the way it usually goes. Oh, sometimes the boss ranchers, who are watching with their binoculars and their maps from the hills above the valley help you out with the plan but just as often you have to wing it. But with Chauncey at your side, the load's become lighter, the skirmishes have gone your way more often than not. He gives you confidence, gives you the benefits of his fifteen years in the saddle. He's your Sicilian, your wartime Consigliere. But it's not just his ability with that rifle, not just his brains, it's also that he doesn't second-guess you. He knows this is your gang and that you're the boss.

But last night it happened, in tough fight, Chauncey got caught in a hail of bullets and went down. You won that battle, then you strapped Chauncey on his horse and turned it back to the hills, knowing the horse will find his way and that Chauncey will be alright but also knowing that he's gone for the season. Gone for the duration of this particular war.

Tonight you're riding into another tough fight, oh hell, there all tough. But when you organize the boys and ready them for the final skirmish, there is no one thinking a little deeper, thinking about riding up that little knoll on the eastern rim and cutting them down with that long-range gun. Sure, you're Chris Paul, you're a bad ass, and you've got Blake Griffin, the raw kid with so much talent, who could one day run his own gang, but not this year. It's too soon. Tonight, for the first time this season, your sidekick, your extra brain, your most-trusted hand isn't riding with you.

And now you have to learn to win without him. Is that possible? Sure. Someone will fill the leadership void, you'll fill part of it yourself. Maybe someone will learn to work the long-bore rifle. Perhaps the boss ranchers back up on the hill will help you out, get a little smarter or find another outlaw to fill the space. But not tonight.

Tonight, you ride alone. Even with all your men behind you... you ride alone.

1 recs  |  38 comments

Comments

Well that was dramatic

Fun read. I don’t think that Clipper Steve is underestimating Billups, I just think that what he is saying is that losing Chauncey should not destroy the team’s season. There were a lot of people on this blog saying pre-injury that maybe Chauncey should be coming off of the bench, and that CP was deferring too much to him. I agree with the CP part…If Chris Paul could lead that NOH team to the playoffs there’e no reason why this Clippers team, even without Chauncey, can’t reach the WCF. Is Billups the difference between this team being a WCF team or a Finals team? I don’t know, but either way it’s a better position than where we’ve ever been before.

Agreed

To me, if we slide Butler over to the 2 and sign an athletic 3, that might be a better fit then Chauncy was. You can have too many chiefs.

Now, to be clear, I love Chauncy.

The too-many-chiefs thing is spot.

Chauncey was great for us, but we can’t ignore he was taking a lot of crap shots. Even Milph mentioned, on that deep 3 that banked in in ORL, that it was a terrible shot and only worked because it went in (and that Mr. Big Shot’s reputation allows him to keep taking those crap shots).

I was irked when Chauncey kept dominating the ball leaving CP3 behind the arc. I mean he’s free to do that occasionally, but he was doing it too often.

I gotta say I don’t like the idea of Butler at the 2 because of his age and speed, I think a better move is getting a real 2 like JR Smith.

I still think Foye will do well as a starter. Pretty funny he was the only one to hit 3’s last night. I wanted him to close last night. Freaking VDN playing the ice-cold Mo made no sense.

Shot selection

If any other player took some of the wild shots that Chauncey did, they’d be benched.

Mo takes some similar shots

both guys make enough of them that they are pretty efficient offensively

Well, Blake and CP3 are this teams two stars.

Blake has got to be schooled in being a closer by CP3. Now, this wasn’t possible when he was throwing up bricks for free throws but it seems this new pre-throw routine is really working. Even if it settles down at anything around or above 70%, then Blake needs to be the other option.
Get in good post position and try and draw contact as he makes his move. It’s gotta happen sometime. You can’t give a superstar a max contract if he can’t close out games so why not teach him now?

The intangibles

are more important than the stat sheets with the loss of Chauncey, however, in time, this team will heal and others will step up. It remains to be seen if this will be enough to carry through to the playoffs.

Swami, offtopic, but you don't write screenplays do you?

I’m reading one for work written by a John Raffo, haha.

Green light it!

As your fearless leader, I command it!

Do I get anything for doing so besides an Executive Order??
My undying affection?
So then it isn't you.

Tease.

Nah.

I’m not hiding. The day I decided to shuck off the “swamigusto” moniker I figured some people would figure out that I actually write about things other than basketball, and that’s okay.

How about you and I writing a script about Poetland?

I envision another Blair Witch Project type movie.

Poetland is too scary.
Ah yes

A real version of “Dead” Poets Society.

Spell it out for me.

Are you a sreenwriter?

Okay.

Yes. Also a human being. A Clipper fan. Not a Carmelo fan. The order changes hourly.

Do the words FEAR AGENT mean anything to you?
It's what I pour into my opponents' Gatorades before every game.
Yup.

It’s a good one, too.

If it becomes a movie

I got dibs on being a gaffer or at least best boy (no gay jokes please!)

Excellent Piece

That was a fun read. I think in the short term, Billups going down will no doubt hurt. His presence with the team and his contributions to the team’s chemistry will be sorely missed on the road (I’m guessing he won’t be traveling due tot he injury).

I think long term though, looking beyond this season, his absence this year could be a blessing in disguise. After the roster settled I never thought Billups would re-sign beyond this year, or to be more accurate that we would re-sign him. I couldn’t see how he fit into this team’s roster strategy beyond being a one year rental because of his age, the $ he’ll likely command from a team with more playing time, and the money we need to dole out to Blake and CP3 in extensions these next couple years.

Same thing with Mo. Next year he will be in the last year of his contract, he seems like a guy who wants a bigger role, and he’ll be in for a payday.

What I think this does is give Bledsoe some valuable playing time to hopefully help speed up his development. Long term, he will be CP3’s true backup since we have his rights for a while and is much more affordable than Billups or Mo. The downside that Billups going down provides for us as “contenders” this year could actually brighten our future for the next few years to come. (Although looking forward to tomorrow instead of enjoying today has grown pretty tiresome as a Clippers fan haha)

Losing Chauncey Billups has zero effect on our title chances. Zero. He's not who he once was.

Hell, I wouldn’t be surprised if we become better on both ends of the floor with Foye in there.

How about this?

Let’s win in Philly and I’ll forget about last night.

Very Well Written
Hard to measure the Chauncey intangibles

But from the numbers we can look at, Chauncey was shooting poorly across the board aside from 3’s and FT%.

http://hoopdata.com/player.aspx?name=Chauncey%20Billups

I will miss some of his crafty plays to draw fouls, and some of his timely shots. However, some games he took scores of bad shots at the expense of Chris Paul. We will endure, just let him be a coach and emotional leader from the sidelines.

I agree. Have him travel with the team.

That way many of the intangibles he brought to the team as a player are still there as far as coaching and leadership. I’ve said before that I loved the Billups pick up, but it really isn’t the end of the world with him injured. Steve is on point with his post.

Raffo:

I think Clippers could afford to lose Billups more than they could lose Butler.

And heres my logic. BIllups is kinda a shooting guard, kinda not. That’s somebody who was brought in originally to play point guard and when the CP3 trade when through, it looked more like wanting to start Billups to make it look like Billups was versitle rather than being the right move. That is not to say that getting Billups off the amnesity was wrong, but by no means is Billups a good shooting guard. He’s a great general, but apart of me still believes Billups is better at the 1.

With that said, losing Butler would be far more devasting because Butler has been consistant. He generally takes good looking shots and is capable of hitting open shots. He’s still quciker, bigger, and a bit better defender than Billups. Although Billups is hurt, the Clippers can easily slide Butler to the 2 if needed and look for a SF, that is if we want to do that. If Billups gets hurt, we only have Gomes to back him up.

I think I agree with that.

I just think that Billups gave Paul a kind of special psychic support. The old timer, who knows all the tricks and could, when Paul needed it, simply agree with his leadership decisions. What I saw last night was Paul foundering, a little lost without this important parf of his “gang”. He wasn’t himself. I really have no fear that he will find his confidence again, but losing Billups intangible support might have rocked the team quite a bit.
That said, Caron Butler steady veteran presence might be just as important to this team. He’s got more and better weapons than Billups (in this stage of his career) but Butler isn’t a point guard like Billups (and Paul) and I don’t see him thinking his way down the floor the way Billups and Paul do.
I think you’re right about Billups not really being a two guard. He’s not. He’s too small, can’t get to the rim, doesn’t have the athletic ability to guard big wings… but he made up for a lot of it by getting to the line, and exhibiting pretty extraordinary craftiness on both ends of the floor.

I agree regarding your thoughts on this and Chauncey's experience and leadership.

Bull #1 (Bledsoe). Hurry Chauncey, let’s run down the hill and screw one of those Heifers!
Bull #2 (Chauncey) No Eric, lets walk down and screw them all!

Moral: You cannot over value experience as an intangible asset. And if you want to get laid hang out with Chauncey.

Right

which still goes pretty hand to hand with Perrin’s in a way.

For example, Chris Paul is easily someone you never want to lose. Even if you have Mo Williams and Eric Bledsoe and is very deep at the point guard position, I don’t think you ever want Paul hurt. Ever.

Griffin? He’s almost another guy you never want hurt. I say almost because Paul would almost be #1 on that list. His production isn’t replaceable. It’s manageable with Evans, but again, Evans can’t score. Maybe now Kenyon Martin can back him up, but it’s just not the same.

At Center, we just lack too much length if DJ gets hurt. We really don’t have another legit 7’0 after DJ. Unless you really want to play Cookie more, it’s not that easy.

But I agree, leadership is something Billups excells in. But who is to say that Billups can’t do that on the bench now? Paul didn’t have a great game, but Paul is still Paul, and I have faith that even without Billups, he’s still going to be Chris Paul. He did it before in New Orleans, he’ll do it again in Los Angeles. There’s just no other way of looking at it, Raffo. Paul won’t decline and lose judgement simply because he and Billups aren’t playing on the same court anymore.

As for Caron, you’re right. His floor vision isn’t point guard material, but why does he need to pass as much as a point guard? His role is simple: score and defend. He’s done a proficient job at it, and he does a good job recognizing when to score and when to pass. He’s not Mr. Big Shot, but he sure is more consistant this him.

Anyway, Billups crafty ways of getting to the line and his ability to actually hit the free throws is going to be missed. Our FT% could very well decline even further without Billups, but it’s something I guess we’re going to have to put up with and adapt to. I don’t like the idea of Foye starting, but he gives us a more natural sg who can put a little more pressure when playing defense.

That’s some Hollywood stuff, right there!...

You tell me another bball blog, much less another clippers blog, get down like Swami did here!?…

Looks like my Netflix queue just filled up!

If our stock keeps rising

Why don’t we move into our OWN building? I really dont want to keep sharing with the faker fans. Not like they are gonna let us hang our own banners if we get any. Any thoughts?

Where are you proposing?

It’s too much of a hassel really. Staples is already one of the better stadiums in the league.

I mean really, can the Lakers really stop us from hanging a banner if we win something? They don’t own the stadium. We can hang Lamar Odom’s jerseys and Andre Millers and they should have no reason to stop us. Even if they try to stop us, we can just let them know that we are current tenants as well and tell them to eff off. As much as I don’t know the contract details of Staples and Clippers, I doubt there would be a clause that neglects the Clippers from hanging anything just because we used to suck and is the 2nd team in Los Angeles.

Staples is owned by AEG

and AEG owns a stake of the Lakers (not sure how much). That said I’m sure their lease has something where they can hang some Clipper banners. On the PR/Suite level their are Clipper photos (far fewer than the Lakers) on the walls of the hallways.

Not going to happen

one is the Clippers have a sweetheart deal (supposedly AEG made more back then with 5 concerts than 44 Clipper home games). Because of that (and the fact they are under contract 2013-2014 season) there’s little reason for the Clips to move in the foreseeable future.

Actually maybe someone knows more, this article talks about how the Clips extend the lease back in 2004.

http://articles.latimes.com/2004/oct/29/sports/sp-lease29

We've discussed this before, but the multi-team tenancy is probably a good thing...

I’ve said it before, but if you look at the Giants/Jets situation is a perfect model. They just tore down a pretty good thirty-year old stadium, and built the super-superior Met Life Stadium. That probably wouldn’t happen in a single-tenancy building. The theory is that it’s better for two football teams to share a football-only stadium, rather than a baseball team with vastly different physical requirements share a multi-purpose stadium Staples is now about what, twelve-years-old? I wouldn’t be surprised to see AEG rebuild inside ten or fifteen years. They can do that because they have three major league tenants.
If the Clippers could and should change anything it would probably be to get some improved starting times, fewer back-to-backs etc.
The banners? It’s not a problem… yet.

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